Solar Forecasting - Every kWh Counts

Wednesday, October 06, 2021
Time
04:30 pm - 06:00 pm
Hall
Conference Center Nord
Room
Raum C61
Tickets
Conference 1-day Pass - Wednesday
Full Conference Pass

Improving the accuracy of forecasting is becoming increasingly important for both, developers and grid operators. The former to calculate the envisaged financial returns, the latter, as more renewables are put onto the system. Today, new technologies like short-term solar irradiance forecasting algorithms based on machine learning methodologies can precisely predict future 5-30 min solar irradiance under difference weather conditions. This session will feature the latest approaches and methods e.g. how an artificial neural network model is used to develop a prediction model designed to produce an accurate solar power forecasts. Moreover, light shall be shed on PV systems being combined with electrical energy storage (ees) systems.


This session is jointly organized by Intersolar and CSEM.


Tickets and pricing information

04:30 pm - 04:35 pmWelcome & Introduction

Dr. Pierre-Jean Alet

Project Manager

CSEM SA

04:35 pm - 04:55 pmEnergy Forecast and Plan, Based on Data from Field

04:55 pm - 05:15 pmSpatio-temporal Graph-based Methods for Multi-site PV Forecasting

Dr. Rafael Carrillo

Senior R&D Engineer

CSEM SA

05:15 pm - 05:35 pmBenchmark of Solar Radiation Forecasts Based on All Sky Imagers

Jan Remund

Head of Energy & Climate

Meteotest AG

05:35 pm - 05:55 pmComparison of Irradiation Data from Different Numerical Weather Models and their Combination in Multi-model Forecasts

Michael Buehrer

Head of Product Management

meteoblue AG

05:55 pm - 06:00 pmQ&A

Speakers

Speaker

Dr. Carlos Javier Sarasa Maestro (SOLRAC LTD)

COO

United Kingdom

Carlos Javier is an experienced engineer in renewable energy in general. After one year researching new inverter technics for wind turbines, Carlos Javier has been focused the last 15 years designing, constructing and researching PV markets, on both the technical and financial side. He has over 14 years in Engineering, negotiation and strategic sales, with in excess of £900m in deals originated and/or delivered across Spain, United Kingdom and Italy on clean energy. Multiple papers have been published on a prestigious scientific magazines with high JCR impact factor. Electrical and Mechanical Engineer, executive MBA and PhD are the academic education. He has designed and built more than 900 MW over 90+ sites in his professional life in ground mount. Also, he is very experienced in roof mount with a portfolio of more than 10 MW in different roofs. Carlos Javier has founded SOLRAC ltd. looking at the new opportunities that the solar market is offering on its unstoppable growth. The specialty of SOLRAC is to advice customers (Mainly Developers and Founders) identifying technical risks which need to be reflected either on CAPEX, OPEX or DebEX. Carlos Javier was an Investment Manager and after, the Technical Director at Next Energy Capital, one of the largest pure renewable energy funds in the world. Previously he was an Investment Analyst at ESA Renewables and the Head of Engineering of Lark Energy, company part of Larkfleet Group, that is developing the largest solar farms in UK.

Speaker

Jan Remund (Meteotest AG)

Head of Energy & Climate

Switzerland

Jan Remund is working at the private company Meteotest AG in Bern Switzerland since 1993. He is head of solar energy & climatology unit and holds a master de-gree in nature science (geography) from the Federal Institute of Technology Zur-ich. He’s a specialist in solar resource assessments, but worked also in other fields like wind energy resource mapping or weather forecast. His main project is the global climatological database Meteonorm (www.meteonorm.com), which was initiated by the Swiss Federal Office of Energy. He’s the main author of the project since 1995 and responsible for modelling, programming as well as for marketing aspects. Jan’s main scientific international projects were EU FP5 Project SoDa (2000-2003), IEA PVPS Task 16 (2017-), EU FP7 DNICast (2014-2018) and Horizon 2020 climate-fit.city (2017-2020). Jan leads the IEA PVPS Task 16 as operating agent since 2017. Jan Remund worked also in the field of grid integration of renewables including the calculation of 100% renewables scenarios in Switzerland. Other main topics are the calculation of drought indices for forest planning (historic data and future IPCC scenarios, downscaling of high resolution models), modelling and measuring of specific irradiation data for photodynamic therapy and modelling urban heat island effects.

Speaker

Dr. Rafael Carrillo (CSEM SA)

Senior R&D Engineer

Switzerland

Dr. Carrillo received the B.S. and the M.S. degrees in electronics engineering from the Pontificia Universidad Javeriana, Colombia, in 2003 and 2006, respectively, and the Ph.D. degree in electrical engineering from the University of Delaware, USA, in 2011. He was a lecturer from 2003 to 2006 at the Pontificia Universidad Javeriana, and a research assistant with the Department of Electrical and Computer Engineering, University of Delaware, from 2006 to 2011. From 2011 to 2016, he was a postdoctoral researcher in the Signal Processing Laboratory (LTS5) at École Polytechnique Fédérale de Lausanne (EPFL), Switzerland. Since 2016, he is at CSEM, Neuchâtel, Switzerland, where he is now a Senior R&D Engineer. His research interests include signal and image processing, mathematical inverse problems, machine learning and data science. He is particularly interested in the application of machine learning and artificial intelligence to develop smarter energy systems.

Speaker

Dr. Pierre-Jean Alet (CSEM SA)

Project Manager

Switzerland

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Speaker

Michael Buehrer (meteoblue AG)

Head of Product Management

Switzerland

03.2010-06.2010: Student research assistant at the institute for meteorology, climatology and remote sensing at the university of Basel 07.2010-12.2016: Project manager: “Solar Power Forecast” for the meteoblue AG in Basel 07.2011-12.2011: Freelance employment for the Soitec Company to do a study with the topic: “Short term power forecast for Soitec CPV plants” 07.2012-12.2012: Freelance employment for the Soitec Company to do a study with the topic: “Better yield calculation through more reliable meteorological data” 01.2017-12.2018: Key account manager “Renewables” for the meteoblue AG in Basel 01.2019-today: Head of product management for the meteoblue AG in Basel

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